Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 6.387121 7.406834 8.500104 9.755237 11.152062 12.654540 14.388466
2025-04-06 4.611179 5.921299 7.435880 9.299429 11.512911 14.040105 17.124691
2025-04-13 3.354807 4.762059 6.511175 8.805939 11.695153 15.168847 19.613703
2025-04-20 2.774642 4.307128 6.336424 9.147193 12.859314 17.510455 23.685257
2025-04-27 2.456440 4.129126 6.469964 9.864946 14.529423 20.572369 28.833189
2025-05-04 2.148349 3.901351 6.487361 10.401811 15.976793 23.417877 33.854944
2025-05-11 1.778782 3.506460 6.199094 10.456081 16.739724 25.374855 37.790814
2025-05-18 1.415043 3.045350 5.736986 10.185775 16.991827 26.616970 40.793241
2025-05-25 1.134412 2.665930 5.341699 9.956380 17.257045 27.858238 43.817392
2025-06-01 0.938569 2.398599 5.087903 9.909189 17.768902 29.450692 47.374612
2025-06-08 0.771653 2.149418 4.825866 9.810524 18.175421 30.886925 50.743987
2025-06-15 0.705892 2.099226 4.915520 10.308883 19.550464 33.817734 56.389145
2025-06-22 0.600154 1.939927 4.785830 10.425592 20.336495 35.929138 60.971179
2025-06-29 0.465278 1.673217 4.403425 10.044785 20.263597 36.705062 63.580728
2025-07-06 0.350651 1.419210 4.001580 9.576787 19.996045 37.146030 65.681902
2025-07-13 0.315141 1.375768 4.048500 9.975717 21.263026 40.095319 71.760480
2025-07-20 0.306932 1.413258 4.283155 10.765357 23.267490 44.317393 79.960008
2025-07-27 0.286814 1.407288 4.414657 11.353491 24.933649 48.038013 87.472620
2025-08-03 0.242411 1.305029 4.299688 11.419464 25.640756 50.186714 92.543633
2025-08-10 0.190306 1.152557 4.032942 11.134179 25.667904 51.183625 95.784171
2025-08-17 0.149535 1.022638 3.798820 10.890685 25.749771 52.263578 99.176766
2025-08-24 0.122203 0.934417 3.659873 10.841569 26.196009 53.975720 103.638818
2025-08-31 0.098088 0.846552 3.504584 10.736546 26.519997 55.477956 107.786521